Yahoo DFS Soccer: Tuesday EPL Picks

Yahoo DFS Soccer: Tuesday EPL Picks

This article is part of our Yahoo DFS Soccer series.

For detailed odds and stats, check out the Fantasy Premier League: Tuesday Cheat Sheet.

MATCHES (EST)

2:45 p.m: Brighton v. Crystal Palace
2:45 p.m: Bournemouth v. Huddersfield
2:45 p.m: West Ham v. Cardiff City
3:00 p.m: Watford v. Manchester City

FORWARDS

Wilfried Zaha, CRY at BHA (£18): Zaha has been hit with some tough stat corrections, as he was initially given just two shots against Arsenal on Oct. 28 and Manchester United on Nov. 24, only for both of them to be adjusted up to four. It even happened again this past weekend against Burnley, as the slate ended showing Zaha with five shots, including three on goal, only for it to change to six afterward. Using the stats of what actually happened, the Crystal Palace forward has taken 14 shots, including three on goal, while drawing 14 fouls over his past four games, and he'll now face a Brighton side that's conceded the most shots, third-most shots on goal and most fouls suffered among teams on the slate. Zaha hasn't hit the back of the net since Sept. 15 at Huddersfield, but he could have a decent shot against a weak opponent Tuesday.

Marko Arnautovic, WHU v. CAR (£22): Arnautovic is West Ham's most consistent attacker, leading the team in shots and shots on target, while no Hammer has scored more goals. The matchup Tuesday couldn't get much better, as Cardiff come in having allowed the most goals, most assists and most shots on goal among

For detailed odds and stats, check out the Fantasy Premier League: Tuesday Cheat Sheet.

MATCHES (EST)

2:45 p.m: Brighton v. Crystal Palace
2:45 p.m: Bournemouth v. Huddersfield
2:45 p.m: West Ham v. Cardiff City
3:00 p.m: Watford v. Manchester City

FORWARDS

Wilfried Zaha, CRY at BHA (£18): Zaha has been hit with some tough stat corrections, as he was initially given just two shots against Arsenal on Oct. 28 and Manchester United on Nov. 24, only for both of them to be adjusted up to four. It even happened again this past weekend against Burnley, as the slate ended showing Zaha with five shots, including three on goal, only for it to change to six afterward. Using the stats of what actually happened, the Crystal Palace forward has taken 14 shots, including three on goal, while drawing 14 fouls over his past four games, and he'll now face a Brighton side that's conceded the most shots, third-most shots on goal and most fouls suffered among teams on the slate. Zaha hasn't hit the back of the net since Sept. 15 at Huddersfield, but he could have a decent shot against a weak opponent Tuesday.

Marko Arnautovic, WHU v. CAR (£22): Arnautovic is West Ham's most consistent attacker, leading the team in shots and shots on target, while no Hammer has scored more goals. The matchup Tuesday couldn't get much better, as Cardiff come in having allowed the most goals, most assists and most shots on goal among teams on the slate, and while Arnautovic hasn't had a shot on goal in either of his last two starts, he put at least one on frame in nine consecutive matches before that. If you don't want to believe in the Hammers, even though Arnautovic has the third-highest anytime goal scorer odds on the slate, Bournemouth's Callum Wilson (£22) took multiple shots, including at least one on goal, in four of his past five games.

Gabriel Jesus, MCI at WAT (£22): Manchester City are the biggest favorites on the slate, and no one has higher anytime goal scorer odds than Jesus, as long as Sergio Aguero (£27), who is battling a knock, doesn't play. Jesus was unable to get on the scoresheet in last weekend's 3-1 win over Bournemouth, but he still took four shots, including one on goal, and he'll be leading the line for the team with the highest implied goal total. It might actually be better to get Man City exposure through the midfield, but Jesus is a reasonable case in a forward spot given the discount from Raheem Sterling (£26).

MIDFIELDERS

David Silva, MCI at WAT (£24): The five most expensive midfielders on the slate play for Manchester City, though we already know that Kevin De Bruyne (£22) will not play because of injury. Silva has been the most consistent attacker of the group, scoring a goal or assisting one in five straight starts, and he's taken multiple shots in seven straight Premier League starts, putting at least one shot on goal in each. Meanwhile, Riyad Mahrez's (£23) playing time hasn't been as consistent, but he's still gotten on the scoresheet in each of his last six starts, and he makes for a very solid fantasy option if he can make his way back into the first XI on Tuesday. If you want to get cheaper exposure to the Man City attack, Ilkay Gundogan (£17) could provide that if he starts, though his upside isn't as high as the others'.

Andros Townsend, CRY at BHA (£16): Townsend's well-rounded fantasy production has given him a solid floor when he doesn't make the scoresheet, though he's coming off an excellent one-goal, one-assist effort against Burnley that netted him 18.80 fantasy points. What's helpful about Townsend is that he's usually good for at least one accurate cross, and he wins corners, draws fouls and wins tackles in addition to his shooting floor, which has seen him take multiple shots in five straight games. That fits perfectly into the matchup, with Brighton struggling significantly this season, at least in terms of allowing peripheral stats that only benefit Townsend's potential production.

Robert Snodgrass, WHU v. CAR (£14): Snodgrass isn't much of a volume shooter, but his role on set pieces gives him plenty of opportunities for accurate crosses, of which he's had at least two in four of his last five matches while he also drew two fouls in each of his last four. He doesn't really have the same upside of teammate Felipe Anderson (£19) but that's why you get a discount on his salary.

DEFENDERS

Aaron Wan-Bissaka, CRY at BHA (£13): Wan-Bissaka failed to win a tackle during last weekend's match against Burnley, which was only the second time this season he failed to do so. In fact, he's been excellent in terms of winning tackles this season, registering multiple in all but four matches. His upside isn't overly high despite sending in 10 crosses in his last five games (zero were accurate), but the Brighton-Crystal Palace match has the lowest implied goal total on the slate, which could help Wan-Bissaka to his third consecutive clean sheet. If you're looking for a little more upside, teammate Patrick van Aanholt (£15) is an option, but you'll have to pay more for him.

Danilo, MCI at WAT (£13): Manchester City have the highest clean sheet odds on the slate, and Danilo could provide some relatively cheap exposure to their back line if he starts again, which is certainly a possibility because Benjamin Mendy (£18) is out with a knee injury while Oleksandr Zinchenko (£15, midfielder) could also sit out with a nose injury. Danilo doesn't usually show much upside, but he did take three shots, including one on goal, during last weekend's win over Bournemouth, and if we need some defensive work, he showed he can do that too with four interceptions and one tackle won in 90 minutes.

Tyrone Mings, BOU v. HUD (£13): Mings got his first start of the season in last weekend's loss to Manchester City, a tough matchup even though he still performed well from a fantasy perspective, finishing with three tackles won, four interceptions and two blocked shots in 90 minutes. His inclusion in a fantasy lineup Tuesday comes with the expectation that he can keep that kind of production up while also getting the second-highest clean sheet odds against a Huddersfield attack that's mustered just six goals in six away matches this season.

GOALKEEPER

Lukasz Fabianski, WHU v. CAR (£13): Fabianski comes in with the second-best win odds, and while Bournemouth actually have slightly better odds for a clean sheet, Fabianski gets to face a Cardiff side that has a league-worst two goals in six away matches this season. And while West Ham should dominate possession, Fabianski also has the most saves among goalkeepers on the slate, so his expected win shouldn't take away from the probability that he'll still have to do some work.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andrew M. Laird
Andrew is a former RotoWire contributor. He was the 2017 and 2018 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year. He is a nine-time FSWA award finalist, including twice for Football Writer of the Year.
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