This article is part of our PrizePicks MLB series.
It's hard to believe, but most teams only have about 10 games remaining. You'd think we'd know more about who's going to be in the playoffs at this point, but there are still numerous teams battling to get in. That's what we love to see as baseball fans, and it should make these final two weeks fascinating. We're looking to finish these final weeks strong, so let's go ahead and get into our favorite PrizePicks plays of the day!
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Freddy Peralta, MIL vs. LAA: More Than 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
To say the Angels are a strikeout-heavy lineup would be a drastic understatement. Not only does that lackluster lineup rank 28th in OBP, they also have the worst strikeout rate in baseball. That strikeout rate is sitting at 27 percent, and it's somehow gotten worse over recent weeks. Over the last four games, the opposing teams' starters have accrued 43 strikeouts! An even more miraculous stat is that no opposing starter has had fewer than five strikeouts since August 24 (20 games)!
If you're saying that any opposing starter's floor is five Ks, then Peralta should flirt with double-digit strikeouts in this spot. This righty has a 2.69 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate in a breakout campaign. He's also recorded at least six Ks in six straight starts while posting a 12.1 K/9 rate in that span. The splits are sensational too, with Peralta posting a 1.72 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate at home this season.
Cade Horton, CHC at PIT: More Than 17.5 Recorded Outs
How come more people aren't talking about Horton? This guy has been one of the best pitchers in the NL, tallying a 2.70 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Those numbers have gotten even better in the second half, with Cade compiling a 0.84 ERA and 0.79 WHIP across his last 10 starts. The lack of strikeouts is the only real concern, but Horton has cracked at least 15 outs in nine of those 10 starts.
We'd happily use Horton against anyone, but Pittsburgh's offense has been pitiful. The Pirates rank 29th or 30th in runs scored, OPS and wOBA. That's no surprise since PNC is a pitcher's park, with Horton throwing 5.2 scoreless innings in their one matchup back in June. It's a silly statistic, but Paul Skenes is taking the mound for the Pirates, and they only average 3.4 runs per game when he's toeing the rubber.
Jakob Marsee, MIA at COL: More Than 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (vs. Kyle Freeland)
We always love to use these types of props in Coors Field. That ballpark always leads to some funky scorelines, with the Marlins projected to score 5-6 runs in this game. That's one of their highest totals of the season, but it's no surprise when looking at this pitching staff in the most hitter-friendly park in baseball. The Rockies rank last in ERA, WHIP and xwOBA, while Kyle Freeland has a 5.82 ERA and 1.67 WHIP at home this season.
If we believe the Marlins are going to be one of the highest-scoring teams on this slate, we have to assume Marsee will maul as their best bat. This rookie has been hitting third for Miami, maintaining a .393 OBP and .937 OPS. He's been even better with the platoon advantage in his favor, amassing a .986 OPS against left-handers. He's also cleared this prop in 24 of 43 games this season, despite playing for one of the worst offenses in baseball.
Heliot Ramos, SF at ARI: More Than 5.5 Fantasy Score (vs. Eduardo Rodriguez)
Ramos has been an overlooked player in San Fran. He's been their primary leadoff hitter for a month now, tallying a .330 OBP and .760 OPS since the start of last season. A recent slump has lowered those averages, but we're willing to overlook it because Ramos has been slaughtering southpaws throughout his career. Ramos has a .356 OBP and .866 OPS against left-handers since 2023.
The recent slide has Ramos' fantasy projection lower than it should be, especially since he has a matchup with E-Rod. This Diamondbacks southpaw has been struggling all season, sporting a 4.98 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. That WHIP is one of the worst in baseball, with Rodriguez allowing righties to register a .343 OBP and .342 wOBA against him.
