This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
MLB Picks Tonight: MLB Best Bets for Tuesday, June 28
Last Article's Record: 3-3 +0.02
Season Record:100-97-1 +21.60
Atlanta Braves 
at Philadelphia Phillies 
Both teams come into this series without their best hitters; Ronald Acuna Jr. and Bryce Harper are out, which should neutralize the impact on either side. In a close matchup, I look at the better starting pitcher at home in Zack Wheeler. Charlie Morton has been the victim of the long ball this year, and I can see Kyle Schwarber's home run prop being live here. Wheeler has been the much better pitcher with a 5-1 record, 1.67 ERA, 54 strikeouts, 8 walks, and just one home run allowed in his last 7 starts. Morton has allowed eight home runs in his last seven outings.
Wheeler's home splits are off the charts with a 1.49 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9, 1.7 BB/9, and 0.2 HR/9. I'm going to piggyback here with a Phillies and Braves under play. I can see the total dropping to 7.0 by first pitch, so do not wait on this one.
MLB Best Bets for Braves at Phillies
- Phillies -120 for 1.2 RW buck (FanDuel)
- Braves under 3.5 runs for 1.05 RW buck (DraftKings -105)
Pittsburgh Pirates 
at Washington Nationals 
I typically only have one angle when it is two bad teams playing each other - look at the totals. Bad pitching is usually in play, so the over F5 is where I turn to first. Jose Quintana and Patrick Corbin have ERA's over 5.00 in their last seven starts with a combined 11 home runs allowed in their last three starts. The last time these two pitchers faced each other on April 17th, they allowed a combined five runs.
MLB Best Bets for Pirates at Nationals
- Pirates/Nationals over 4.5 runs F5 for 1.06 RW buck (FanDuel)
Houston Astros 
at New York Mets 
I do not go against a 1st place home dog very often, but these two teams have recent history, as do the pitchers. The Astros won both games in Houston 5-3, and 8-2 with Luis Garcia having the better start against Carlos Carrasco.
The Astros are coming off a memorable series with the Yankees, so there's no travel factor. Both starting pitchers have been susceptible to the long ball, but the ballpark is very pitcher-friendly. The key point here is the recent performances of Carlos Carrasco, which have not been good. I like the Astros to win in a close game, but they should be able to get to Carrasco early.
MLB Best Bets for Astros at Mets
- Astros -118 for 1.18 RW buck (FanDuel)
MLB Best Bets Today Recap
- Phillies -120 for 1.2 RW buck (FanDuel)
- Braves under 3.5 runs for 1.05 RW buck (DraftKings -105)
- Pirates/Nationals over 4.5 runs F5 for 1.06 RW buck (FanDuel -106)
- Astros -118 for 1.18 RW buck (FanDuel)
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