MLB Best Bets Today: MLB Betting Picks for Monday, September 1
Monday brings 13 games across baseball, most of which have early start times. Among the highlight matchups is the Milwaukee Brewers hosting the Philadelphia Phillies. Let's look at the betting side of things and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 70-42 (+11.60 units)
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Best MLB Bets Monday
San Francisco Giants 
vs. Colorado Rockies 
Betting Picks
- Giants team total 2.5 runs first five innings: OVER (-120) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
The Giants' lineup hasn't been great this season. They have scored the ninth-fewest runs and have the sixth-worst OPS in baseball. However, they have cranked up their production lately. They are 7-1 over their last eight games, scoring at least five runs in five of those games. In three of them, they scored at least 12 runs.
Playing at Coors Field should help the Giants stay hot at the plate. When they played a three-game series against the Rockies there early this season, the Giants scored at least six runs in each game. This is a great matchup for them against RHP Chase Dollander, who has a 5.14 xFIP and a 2.02 WHIP at home. Look for the Giants to score early and often.
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San Diego Padres 
vs. Baltimore Orioles 
Betting Picks
- Padres ML (-155) at Caesars Sportsbook for 1 Unit
The Orioles continue to pile up losses down the stretch. Over their last 11 games, they are only 2-9. They just lost two of three on the road against the Giants, giving up at least 13 runs in two of the games. For the season, the Orioles are just 30-39 on the road. Meanwhile, the Padres are a sparkling 43-22 at home.
The pitching matchup for this game is RHP Kyle Bradish against RHP Dylan Cease, so it's not exactly lopsided in favor of a particular side. Bradish has only made one start for the Orioles this season after working his way back from elbow surgery, but it was a great one against the Boston Red Sox in which he had 10 strikeouts. Cease has disappointing overall numbers for the Padres, but he has a 3.42 xFIP and a 1.26 WHIP at home. The main reason to like the Padres in this game is their record at home. Another is their vastly superior bullpen, which has a 3.10 ERA and 1.16 WHIP this season. The Orioles' bullpen has a 4.66 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP.
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Seattle Mariners 
vs. Tampa Bay Rays 
Betting Picks
- Mariners team total 3.5 runs first seven innings: OVER (+105) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
The Mariners just lost two of three games against the Cleveland Guardians, scoring four or fewer runs in each game. It was a rare occurrence of them struggling to score runs on the road. They have just a .691 OPS at home, but their .761 road OPS in tied for the third-highest mark in baseball.
Starting for the Rays will be RHP Shane Baz, who has pitched poorly at Steinbrenner Field. He has given up at least five runs in each of his last three starts at home, which included an outing against the White Sox in which he allowed eight runs. For the season, he has a 1.57 WHIP and has allowed 2.4 HR/9 at home. At plus-odds, this is an appealing wager.
MLB Picks Recap
- Giants team total 2.5 runs first five innings: OVER (-120) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Padres ML (-155) at Caesars Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Mariners team total 3.5 runs first seven innings: OVER (+105) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
