Top MLB Betting Picks for September 2: Expert Predictions and Best Bets

MLB Betting Expert Michael Rathburn has a trio of plays Tuesday night. He looks into Logan Webb and the Giants' matchup with the Rockies, among others.
Top MLB Betting Picks for September 2: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
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Top MLB Betting Picks for September 2: Expert Predictions and Best Bets

Previous article 1-3 ( -1.85 units) 

Season 120-131-2 (-14.15 units)

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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis

Before locking in your MLB bets Tuesday, be sure to check out these key betting numbers.

As teams fall out of the playoff race, we will start to see inflated moneylines.

Road Favorites -  Giants -215 at Rockies, Dodgers -180 at Pirates

Home Favorites - Red Sox -250 vs Guardians, Cubs -175 vs Braves

Totals - Giants/Rockies 10.0-10.5, Yankees/Astros 7.5, Mariners/Rays 7.5-8.0

Line Movement - Twins -16, Angels -16, Rockies -20

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New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers Best Bets and Predictions

Mets RHP Nolan McLean has been lights-out since being promoted to the big leagues on August 16th. He has had 3 starts going 20.1 innings with a 0.89 ERA and a 0.69 WHIP. He faces RHP Sawyer Gipson-Long who is not one of the Tigers best starters, and is a spot starter/opener, who was just recalled from Triple-A. 

While the Mets have been struggling a bit, they have turned it around recently, going 6-4 in their last 10, and 11-9 in their last 20. The Tigers are still playing around .500 ball lately, so I will lean on the slight favorite on the road in this one. 

Best Bet: Mets ML for 1 unit (-125 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Best Bets and Predictions

Red Sox All-Star LHP Garrett Crochet takes the mound Tuesday evening in Fenway against the Cleveland Guardians. Crochet is neck and neck with Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal for the American League Cy Young Award, and the Red Sox are fighting for seeding in the American League playoff race. The Red Sox are 43-27 at home and 7-3 in their last 10. 

Guardians RHP Slade Cecconi has a 5.35 ERA in his last 7 starts. and he has allowed 9 home runs, with 25 strikeouts in 38.2 innings. This is the type of pitcher the Red Sox offense should feast on early and often. I have no problem laying -1.5 runs on the home favorite Tuesday night. 

Best Bet: Red Sox -1.5 runs for 1 unit (-117 at Caesars Sportsbook)

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San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies  Best Bets and Prediction

I have done my best this season to lay off -2.5 runs, which are mostly Rockies games, but we have a lot of strong history with RHP Logan Webb pitching successfully in Coors. Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland has allowed 10 home runs in his last 7 starts with a 5.50 ERA. He also has a 5.40 ERA in his last five starts against the Giants. Between the history, and this pitching matchup, laying the runs is warranted.

The Giants took the first game in this series Monday with a 8-2 victory. I will go ahead and begrudgingly lay the -2.5 runs and hope I don't get beaten by the variance gods. 

Best Bet: Giants -2.5 runs for 1 unit (-103 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tuesday's MLB Best Bets

  • Mets ML (-125) for 1 unit (at FanDuel Sportsbook)
  • Red Sox -1.5 runs (-117) for 1 unit (at Caesars Sportsbook)
  • Giants -2.5 runs (-103) for 1 unit (at DraftKings Sportsbook)
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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