Top MLB Player Prop Bets to Watch for September 12: Expert Picks & Insights
Runs might be difficult to come by in several games Friday. Among the top-tier pitchers set to take the mound are Tarik Skubal, Jacob deGrom and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Let's look at the betting side of things and highlight three player props to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 78-46 (+14.17 units)
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets September 12
Los Angeles Dodgers 
at San Francisco Giants 
Betting Picks
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto over 5.5 strikeouts (-150) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
With the playoffs approaching, the Dodgers finally have a healthy starting rotation. Yamamoto has been one of their most reliable starters all year, recording a 2.72 ERA that is backed by a 2.67 xERA. He continues to be an excellent source for strikeouts, posting a 28.8% strikeout rate. Last season, he had a 28.5% strikeout rate.
Yamamoto posted 10 strikeouts in each of his last two starts. That has extended his streak to nine straight starts with at least six strikeouts. That included an outing against the Giants in which he had seven strikeouts over seven innings in San Francisco. The Giants have struck out the 13th-most times in baseball, so even with the juice that comes with this wager, the over is the way to go.
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Houston Astros 
vs. Atlanta Braves 
Betting Picks
- Yordan Alvarez 1+ walks (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Alvarez has locked in since returning from the injured list, hitting 22-for-53 (.415) with a .500 OBP, three home runs, nine RBI and eight runs scored. During that span, he has more walks (10) than strikeouts (seven). He has always been a selective hitter, posting a 12.1% walk rate for his career.
Alvarez will be in a favorable position to draw at least one walk with Hurston Waldrep starting for the Braves. In his last two starts, he has walked nine batters across 10.2 innings. He has a 10.0% walk rate in the majors this year after recording a 12.3% walk rate at Triple-A.
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Milwaukee Brewers 
vs. St. Louis Cardinals 
Betting Picks
- Brice Turang over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-137) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Since the All-Star break, Turang is 59-for-185 (.319) with a .377 OBP, 35 RBI and 33 runs scored over 48 games. After posting a .665 OPS last year, he has a .801 OPS this season. A big reason for his improvement has been his quality of contact. Last season, he had a 2.4% barrel rate and a 29.7% hard-hit rate. This season, he has an 8.4% barrel rate and a 47.5% hard-hit rate.
Starting against Turang and the Brewers will be Andre Pallante, who has a 5.28 ERA and a 4.26 xERA. He's not fooling many batters, posting a 15.9% strikeout rate that has contributed to his bloated 1.43 WHIP. For his career, he has a 1.41 WHIP. In what could be a high-scoring game for the Brewers, Turang has the potential to provide a juicy stat line.
MLB Player Prop Picks Recap
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto over 5.5 strikeouts (-150) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Yordan Alvarez 1+ walks (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Brice Turang over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-137) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
