Best NBA Bets Today: Picks and Props for Tuesday, November 12

Best NBA Bets Today: Picks and Props for Tuesday, November 12

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best NBA Bets Today

Tyler Herro over 27.5 points + assists at Detroit

FanDuel, 4:01 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Jimmy Butler is set to miss a second straight game, though he only saw seven minutes during the game where he suffered the injury. Herro stepped up in those two contests, averaging 25 points and 7 assists in 37 minutes in road games against the Nuggets and Timberwolves. Today's matchup is still on the road, but it's much softer. If Herro can pop off against those Western Conference squads, I think can continue here against the Pistons.

John Collins over 15.5 points vs. Suns

DraftKings Pick6, 4:18 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Some books have this line as high as 17.5 points, so that helps me feel good about this one just as a pure value play. The reasoning, though, is that Walker Kessler is missing his first game of the season. With Kessler (and Taylor Hendricks) off the floor this season, Collins has seen the most total minutes (149) and is scoring 9.7 more points per 36 minutes, up to 26.6 points. I don't expect him to play 36 minutes, but I'm going to bank on the usage boost sticking.

Knicks ML at 76ers 

Nick Whalen: Joel Embiid is set to make his season debut for Philly, but it's fair to wonder how he'll look after a long layoff and continued concerns with his knee. The Sixers are also without Tyrese Maxey and could have trouble keeping up with the NBA's No. 2 offense. On paper, the Knicks don't have a ton of options to throw at Embiid, but this is more so a fade of his conditioning and workload in his first game back.

Raptors-Bucks U226.0

Nick Whalen: Milwaukee is 7-3 to the under so far this season and will not have the services of Damian Lillard, who landed in concussion protocol. That's a significant hit to the the Bucks' offense, but it could also be a boost to their defense, which has struggled so far this season. Meanwhile, the Raptors are still without their best player in Scottie Barnes and could be missing Immanuel Quickley tonight, as well. Toronto's league-worst defense is a concern, but without Lillard I don't see this as a spot where Milwaukee is necessarily piling up points.

Timberwolves -8.5 at Trail Blazers

Nick Whalen: This is a big number, but the Wolves are heavy favorites for a reason over a Blazers team that ranks 28th in NET rating, 28th in offense and 30th in TrueShooting. Portland has played a handful of close games this season, but for the most part they've been dominated by superior opponents. Over the last three games, the Blazers have been outscored by an average of 27.6 points per game.

I'm taking the OVER on Derrick White grabbing 4.5 rebounds

FanDuel, -118, 3:25pm EST

Ken Crites: Jayson Tatum and Al Horford are both game time decisions tonight versus the Hawks.  That means D White needs to help on the boards.  And the versatile guard has been on a bit of a rebounding heater lately, with six or more rebounds in four of his last five games.  The Hawks are a poor rebounding squad.  They rank 20th with 42.5 rebounds per contest through 10 games. But the Hawks also play fast, ranking fourth in possessions per game.  That combo means lots of rebounds are available.  The K-Train is a modest 2-2 on the year, so feel free to fade!

WARNING:  As of 5:30pm EST, both Tatum and Horford are now expected to play.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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