We have some work to do after going under 50% for the second straight week. We'll need some solid results to round out the month to get us closer to 60%, which is our season goal in this category.
SIMULATED BETS
Week 6 Results: 23-24-2
Win Pct: 46.9%
Results through Week 6: 206-186-7
Win Pct: 51.2%
SYR +13.5, NTEX +11, SDSU -10, CAL +13.5, CIN -21.5, FLA -12, TEX -3.5, TLSA -8, AUB +4, MINN +4.5, MSU -4.5, RUT -2, TA&M -11.5, BUFF -7.5, UVA -10.5, BALL -1.5, AKR +20, TROY -7.5, WKU -13, IOWA -11.5, UAB -16.5, KENT +7, NIU -9, PITT -5, UNC -7.5, WYO +3.5, COLO -6, UK +22, TOL -5, BYU +5.5, KU +18.5, VAN +19, UTSA -17, ULM +32.5, UNM +11.5, USU -7.5, BAMA --17.5, BC +3, MISS -2.5, STAN -1, OKLA -13.5, ISU -6.5, WISC -14, UCLA +1.5, LT -6.5, BSU -.5, ASU +0.5, NEV -14, APP -5, USA -2.5, MEM -11
REAL-MONEY BETS
Week 6 Results: 2-3
Results through Week 6:19-11
Win Pct: 63.3%
We had our first losing session in the real-money category but are still well over 60 percent in that race.
UNDER 57, Tulsa vs. South Florida
Although I expect Tulsa to win and cover as well, expect a good deal of punts and turnovers in a game where neither squad will gain much traction. South Florida hasn't beaten an FBS team in over two years, and I expect that trend to continue. Still, even with their 1-4 record and corresponding offensive struggles, they are facing a Tulsa team that ranks very low when it comes to finishing drives and capitalizing on red zone opportunities. I would tease this number a little lower as well.
North Carolina (-7.5) over Miami(FL)
The loss of D'Eriq King stings for the Hurricanes, but the public seems to think that Tyler Van Dyke isn't much of a downgrade. While some can see his performance against Virginia encouraging, I see a signal-caller who got lucky on a few plays, got a nice run on a broken play, and threw an almost embarrassing amount into coverage. The Heels haven't done themselves any favors on defense, but they do enough offensively in the second half to pull away here.
UNDER 43, Iowa vs. Purdue
I'm a believer in the Hawkeyes now, especially after they burned me on one too many parlay cards. They are 5-1 ATS this season, and while I think -11.5 is smart enough, their run-heavy offense hasn't been all that successful when you look at the numbers leading me to look at the under against a Purdue offense that hasn't had much success in sealing the deal when they put a long drive together.
Add: Iowa -11.5
