College Football Picks: Texas vs. Texas A&M Best Bets
The Texas A&M Aggies travel to Austin, TX to take on the Texas Longhorns in a game that will have a major impact on the College Football Playoff. The Aggies are seemingly locked into the playoff at this point, but a loss in this spot could alter their seeding along with those around them. Texas is seemingly out of the playoff, but a win this week could open the door for consideration.
Kick off the 2025 college football season with a DraftKings Promo Code for $200 instantly on a $5 bet! RotoWire has plenty of college football betting tools and info to keep you in the loop this season. From the latest college football odds to college football futures and Heisman odds, we have you covered.
Texas vs. Texas A&M Betting Odds for Week 14
Spread: Texas A&M -2.5 (DraftKings Sportsbook); Texas +2.5 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Total: Over 51.5 (DraftKings Sportsbook), Under 51.5 (BetMGM)
Money line: Texas -130 (DraftKings Sportsbook), Texas +110 (DraftKings)
We've seen little to no line movement on the side or the total since Monday. That makes sense for the side as it's sitting just below the magic number of three. It would take a lot of action on A&M to get that number to three and considering how good the Longhorn offense looked this past week, I don't think we'll get off of -2.5 at this point.
Get in on the action at Caesars Sportsbook with the Caesars Sportsbook promo code for a generous welcome offer.
Texas vs. Texas A&M Betting Picks for Week 14
Since I just mentioned the Texas offense, let's start there. Arch Manning and crew got off to a slow start this season, but that group has really turned it on over the past month. There was that hiccup at Georgia, but even with that dud, the Longhorns are still averaging over 35 points per game over their past four games. The Longhorns are getting it done primarily through the air, which could be a problem this week as balance is needed to beat this Aggie defense and right now the Longhorn offense is not balanced.
Speaking of defense, well, it's been lacking in Austin lately. The defense was the stronger of the two units early in the season, but just as the offense got going, the defense lost its way. Over their past four games, the Longhorn defense has allowed 141 points, just over 35 per game. The pass defense in particular has been troublesome, allowing over 300 yards per game over their past four. With Marcel Reed in town, that's a problem.
Speaking of Reed, he's been a true dual-threat QB this season, averaging over 250 passing and 35 rushing yards per game this season. The Aggies are averaging 195 yards per game on the ground, so it's not just Reed running the ball and having success. They also rank in the top-30 in yards per game passing, so unlike the Longhorns, a truly balanced offense.
The A&M defense looks good on paper if we're focusing on yards allowed, the Aggies rank top-30 in both passing and rushing yards allowed, but there have been some hiccups along the way. Most notably, allowing South Carolina to put up 30 points in the first half a couple weeks ago, but that might have been just one of those days as nothing was working in the first half, while everything clicked in the second half.
The Aggies have the edge on paper and they might have the intangible edge as well. For one, there's no pressure on the Aggies, they are in the playoff unless they crash out down the stretch. Unless they get blown out, this would not be considered a bad loss. Also in their favor, they've played better in big spots than the Longhorns this season. In the biggest spots this season, against Ohio State and Georgia, the Longhorn offense disappeared. Will it do the same in this game?
Texas A&M has had trouble on defense in big games and the Aggies will likely have problems this week, but Reed and the Aggie offense should be able to get whatever they want in this game. As such, the play here is Texas A&M minus the points.
Texas vs. Texas A&M Expert Pick: Texas A&M -2.5 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Texas vs. Texas A&M Predictions for Week 14
This is going to be a wild atmosphere. It's a rivalry game with a lot on the line, it's Black Friday and it's a night game. There is a lot working in the Longhorns favor, but it's not going to be enough.
I'm expecting a higher scoring game as A&M's toughest games have resulted in a lot of points on both sides and while Texas has struggled to score in its biggest games this season, I think that changes this week as they seem to have found something on offense.
There will be some big plays early on both sides, Texas through the air and A&M through the air and on the ground, but eventually A&M will get more stops than Texas. Marcel Reed is the difference maker that Manning hopes to be in the future, but for A&M the future is now. The Aggies get plenty on offense and do just enough on defense to win and cover.
Texas A&M 34 - Texas 27
Texas vs. Texas A&M Player Props for Friday, November 28th
Marcel Reed Higher 25.5 Rush Yards (PrizePicks)
As if often the case with dual-threat QBs, Reed runs more when needed, whether that's because it's a big game or a close game, Reed will do what's necessary to win and if that means more runs, then that's what he'll do. He ran for 37 against Notre Dame (one-point game), 55 against Arkansas (3-point game) and 100 against LSU, which at the time was a big road game. In his most recent game against South Carolina, he only ran for 13 yards, but that game was a different beast. The Aggies were so far behind they had to just keep chucking the ball and it was working so there was no need to run. He'll mix in a lot of runs this week and as long as he avoids the big sacks, he should hit this over.
Ryan Wingo Higher 62.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog)
The Texas offense starting humming when Wingo got more involved a month ago. Since then, he's gone over this number in three of four games and the one he missed, he ended up with 62 yards. He's had five or more receptions in three of his past four games, so if he hits than again, he should clear this with ease. I should note that as of now, you're getting a break on UD as this line is 67.5 on Prizepicks.
