DraftKings LoL: Monday LPL Cheat Sheet

In his first article for DraftKings, Kalvin Thongchamleunsouk breaks down the Monday League of Legends LPL three-game slate, including big expectations for Estar against V5.
DraftKings LoL: Monday LPL Cheat Sheet
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Games (EDT)

  • 2:00 a.m: Estar vs. V5
  • 4:00 a.m: BLG vs. OMG
  • 6:00 a.m: VG v. JDG

Estar (4-1) vs V5 (0-3)

The first match of the slate is between Estar and V5. This one is pretty straight forward, as Estar should be heavy favorites. The team is starting play well, taking it to world champions FPX in Week 2, though they recently dropped a game to EDG. This team has a core of young talent with an amazing group of coaches. I believe their drafts and skill sets are vastly superior to V5, a team that looks to be the worst in the league, though they have potential to improve. The team has had draft and communication issues where I don't necessarily trust them in this spot. This should be the bloodiest game on the slate and a perfect game to target. 

Prediction: Estar 2-0

Bets: Estar -1.5 (-165) getting decent value in the sweep

BLG (2-2) vs. OMG (2-2)

The second match is between BLG and OMG. BLG has dropped two games to decent teams, which is shocking because they have the players and coaching to succeed. I have this team rated top four of the league. BLG's problem isn't their drafting, but their execution and communication. They generally play a slower style compared to other LPL teams, but they are good at capitalizing on other teams' mistakes. OMG is another team I rated highly with their power-house lineup, and I knew it will take time for them

Games (EDT)

  • 2:00 a.m: Estar vs. V5
  • 4:00 a.m: BLG vs. OMG
  • 6:00 a.m: VG v. JDG

Estar (4-1) vs V5 (0-3)

The first match of the slate is between Estar and V5. This one is pretty straight forward, as Estar should be heavy favorites. The team is starting play well, taking it to world champions FPX in Week 2, though they recently dropped a game to EDG. This team has a core of young talent with an amazing group of coaches. I believe their drafts and skill sets are vastly superior to V5, a team that looks to be the worst in the league, though they have potential to improve. The team has had draft and communication issues where I don't necessarily trust them in this spot. This should be the bloodiest game on the slate and a perfect game to target. 

Prediction: Estar 2-0

Bets: Estar -1.5 (-165) getting decent value in the sweep

BLG (2-2) vs. OMG (2-2)

The second match is between BLG and OMG. BLG has dropped two games to decent teams, which is shocking because they have the players and coaching to succeed. I have this team rated top four of the league. BLG's problem isn't their drafting, but their execution and communication. They generally play a slower style compared to other LPL teams, but they are good at capitalizing on other teams' mistakes. OMG is another team I rated highly with their power-house lineup, and I knew it will take time for them to gel. The problem is that SMLZ has a small champion pool and can be easily targeted during the drafting phase. OMG knows how to set themselves to win as their drafts are also on point; however, they are the type of team to leave power picks for other teams to grab, which can backfire heavily. When OMG wins a game they look good, when they lose they look awful. This game is a perfect game to target one side or the other, as I think it will be close and anyone can pick up the win. I have BLG coming out just a bit ahead because they are a more organized team with a good game plan.

Prediction: BLG 2-1

Bets: BLG ML (-140) 

VG (1-3) vs. JDG (3-1)

The last game on the slate is between last-place VG and third-place JDG. This is another one that will be a popular target but for the wrong reasons: JDG are heavy favorites and should be able to handle them without any problems. The problem is VG have no clue what their identity is. They play at a really slow pacewhile trying to figure out how to rotate on the map. KKoma who is a coaching legend, is having problems controlling this team. JDG are usually a bloody team, but in recent games they haven't really paid off their prices on DraftKings, and in this spot I also don't see it. 

Prediction: JDG 2-0

Bets: None.. I do think they 2-0 but the line is too rich.

Stacks/Players

Estar

  • JG: Wei $7,000 (captain)
  • MID: Cryin $7,800
  • ADC: Wink $8,000
  • SUP: ShiauC $5,600

V5: 

  • N/A

BLG:

  • JG: Meteor $6,800(captain)
  • TOP: Kingen $5,800
  • Team: Billibilli gaming $5,200

OMG:

  • JG: H4cker $6,400
  • ADC: SMLZ $7,200
  • TEAM: OMG $4,800

JD Gaming

  • JG:  Kanavi $7,400
  • MID: Yagao $8,000
  • ADC: Loken $8,200 (captain easy pair with OMG if you think they beat BLG)
  • SUP: Lvmao $6,200

VG

  • N/A

Stacks

Optimal: full stack Estar with BLG

GPP: full stack JDG with OMG

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kalvin is a former RotoWire contributor. He started his League of Legends obsession in 2012 during college and has followed the pro scene ever since. He was an original DraftKings LoL DFS player in 2015. Since early 2018, he's been a co-host on The Gold Card Podcast with fellow LoL DFS experts. The pod provides analysis, discussion, and strategy for wagering on professional League of Legends matches (where legal, of course).
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