This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Last week 2-5; –5.5 RW bucks
Overall 25-30; -15.6 RW bucks
When you dig a hole like I have over the last 3 weeks, you can either try and grind it out and get back to even or dig harder to find winners (especially on the player props) which you will see this week. I also will take a couple of fliers on some high payoff parlays.
Games
Cleveland Browns 
-1.5 + under 42.5 (+185) for 1 RW buck
I hated when this line got over a field goal, but love the under as both teams are banged up and will play conservatively. The Browns have scored 17 and 14 points the last two games, while the Steelers are 4-1-1 to the under in their 6 games this year.
Indianapolis Colts 
-2 over the Tennessee Titans for 1 RW buck
Colts/Titans over 51 (-110) for 1 RW buck
In what should be one of the best matchups of the week, the Colts catch the Titans in a major letdown spot off their huge win against the Chiefs. The Colts have been playing great ball over the last 4 weeks as have the Titans, but this is a division home game and crucial for the Colts. Getting them at less than a field goal is attractive.
Both teams have been trending to the over as their offenses have been clicking. You also get a slight bump on a total potential when a game is in a dome and on turf.
PLAYER PROPS
Mo Alie-Cox over 21.5 receiving yards (-113) for 2 RW bucks
Alie-Cox has gone over 21.5 receiving yards four weeks in a row and Jack Doyle has become a non-factor getting only one target each of the last four weeks. The Colts offense has found their groove over those last four weeks also scoring at least 25 points in each game. If T.Y. Hilton does not play, it gives MAC a few more potential targets.
Ja'Marr Chase over 76.5 receiving yards (-113) for 1 RW buck
Chase has hit this in 5 out of 7 games including his last 4 in a row. The Jets have only allowed 2 receivers to hit at least 76.5 yards and one of the problems is that teams have a huge lead and run the ball. Chase leads the NFL in yards per target at just under 15 (14.8) and has averaged 9 targets per game over his last 4.
Mike Evans over 65.5 receiving yards (-113) for 1.5 RW bucks
Evans has hit this number in 5 out of 7 games (71%) and the Bucs potentially have two pass catchers out again this week in Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski. The Saints have allowed 8 wide receivers to catch over 65.5 yards in just six games.
Patrick Mahomes over 21.5 rushing yards (-120) for 1.5 RW bucks
Mahomes has hit in 5 out of 7 games including 5 in a row. The only hesitation is that he did take a big hit in the last game against the Titans but I would still think he will have at least 3-5 rushes in the game against the Giants. The Chiefs need a big win in the worst way. He has averaged 4.6 rushing attempts and 31.3 yards per game.
Daniel Jones over 243.5 passing yards (-114) for 2 RW bucks
Jones has pretty much nailed this in 5 out of 7 games (he missed it by 1 yard against the Rams) and the Chiefs have allowed at least 243.5 in 5 out of 7. The Chiefs passing defense is one of the worst in the league and Jones is averaging 246.7 yards per game.
3 LEG PARLAY
Evans, Alie-Cox, Mahomes +551 for 1 RW buck
