New York Giants at Detroit Lions NFL Betting Odds, Expert Picks & Props

The Giants travel to meet the Lions in Week 12. NFL Betting Expert Mike Barner previews the game, and thinks Brian Burns and the D will have its hands full.
New York Giants at Detroit Lions NFL Betting Odds, Expert Picks & Props
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Giants at Lions Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 12

The Giants have lost five straight games on their way to a 2-9 record. Things won't get any easier when they face the Lions in Week 12. Let's dig into this potential blowout and highlight three wagers to consider.

Mike Barner's season record: 33-33 (-6.52 units)

Giants at Lions Betting Odds

Giants: Spread +13 (Bet365), +610 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Lions: Spread -12.5 (BetMGM, DraftKings), -750 Moneyline (Caesars)
Game Total: Over: 49.5 points (-120 FanDuel), Under: 50.5 (-110 Bet365) 

Giants QB Jaxson Dart (concussion) has been ruled out for the second straight game. The Lions are battling some injury issues on their offensive line, but with most of the starting unit at least practicing in a limited fashion Thursday, things seem to be trending in the right direction for them.

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Giants at Lions Betting Picks

Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rushing yards (-140 FanDuel) for 1 Unit

Gibbs made his most significant impact in the passing game last week, catching five of eight targets for 107 yards against the Eagles. On the ground, the Eagles limited him to 39 yards on 12 carries. Despite that muted performance, Gibbs is still averaging 5.2 yards per carry for the season.

Given that the Lions are significant favorites in this game, Gibbs could receive a lot of carries if they build a big lead early. He has had five games with at least 15 carries this season and he finished with at least 65 rushing yards in each of them. In two of the games, he posted at least 135 rushing yards. The Giants have allowed 5.74 yards per carry to running backs, which puts Gibbs in a favorable spot to finish this game with at least 70 rushing yards.

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Jahmyr Gibbs over 38.5 rushing yards 1st Half (-117 DraftKings) for 1 Unit

This is another way to attack the Giants' terrible run defense with a Gibbs prop, and it comes with better odds than our first wager. There is a chance that Gibbs doesn't get a ton of work in the fourth quarter if the Lions have already built up a big lead. There likely won't be any limits on his workload in the first half, though, so he has the potential to breeze past this line.

Lions 3.5 team total touchdowns: OVER (-140 DraftKings) for 1 Unit

The Lions only scored nine points in their loss to the Eagles last week. That came on the heels of them producing 44 points the game prior against the Commanders. They have scored at least 30 points in a game five times, including two games with at least 40 points. For the season, they are averaging 29.2 points per game.

The Giants have been a significant disappointment on defense. They have pumped a lot of money and draft capital into that side of the ball, but they are allowing an average of 27.3 points per game. During their five-game losing streak, they have allowed an average of 31.2 points. Look for them to have a difficult time keeping the Lions out of the end zone.

Giants at Lions Prediction

The Lions are 3-1 at home, while the Giants are 0-6 on the road. The Giants have a minus-63 point differential, compared to a plus-76 point differential for the Lions. Not only would it be a shocker if the Giants pulled out this win, but it would be surprising if they were even able to keep things close.

Lions 34, Giants 17

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mike started covering fantasy sports in 2007, joining RotoWire in 2010. In 2018, he was a finalist for the FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Mike also won the 2022-23 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to RotoWire, Mike has written for Sportsline, Sports Illustrated, DK Live, RealTime Fantasy Sports, Lineup Lab and KFFL.com.
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