NFL Odds: NFL Key Line Moves for Week 8

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Published on October 23, 2023

NFL Odds: NFL Key Line Moves for Week 8

The goal of this article is to look at the key line moves for the week and what they mean in terms of betting. Key numbers in the NFL to watch for are three, seven, six, 14 and 10. When a line crosses through one of these, it is a significant move that warrants attention.

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NFL Week 8 Odds

BYES: None

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills (-7.0) O/U 42.5 OPENED -10/43.5

Houston Texans (-3.0) at Carolina Panthers O/U 42.5 OPENED PANTHERS -3/41.5

Atlanta Falcons (-1.0) at Tennessee Titans O/U 36.5 OPENED TITANS -1/39

Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.0) at Pittsburgh Steelers O/U 42.0 OPENED STEELERS -1/41.5

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) at Washington Commanders O/U 43.5 OPENED EAGLES -4/47

New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) O/U 43.5 OPENED SAINTS -1.5/41.5

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-1.0) O/U 42 OPENED VIKINGS -1/45.5

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (-10) O/U 47.0 OPENED DOLPHINS -6/47; PEAK -13.0

Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) O/U 45.0 OPENED COWBOYS -6/47

New York Jets (-2.5) at New York Giants O/U 36.5 OPENED JETS -1.5/39

Cleveland Browns at Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) O/U 40.0 OPENED SEAHAWKS -1.5/45.5

Kansas City Chiefs (-8.0) at Denver Broncos O/U 46.5 OPENED CHIEFS -3.5/43.5

Baltimore Ravens (-8.0) at Arizona Cardinals O/U 43.5 OPENED RAVENS -5.5/43.5

Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5) O/U 45.5 OPENED 49ERS -1.0/46; PEAK -6

Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Chargers (-8.5) O/U 46.5 OPENED CHARGERS -5.5/48.5

Las Vegas Raiders at Detroit Lions (-8.0) O/U 44.5 OPENED LIONS -3.5/49.5

Week 8 observations

Bears - Justin Fields OUT, Tyson Bagent remains the starter

Eagles - Jalen Hurts (Knee) looks to not be serious, but worth monitoring

Giants - Saquon Barkley (Elbow) looks to not be serious, but worth monitoring

Browns - DeShaun Watson (Concussion, Shoulder); entered concussion protocol but cleared, Shoulder is still an issue. Jerome Ford (ankle) looks to be out and Kareem Hunt assumes the starting RB job.

Packers - Christian Watson and Luke Musgrave are banged up on an already-bad Packers offense that could only score 17 points against the Broncos. Packers also have multiple players on both sides of the ball who left Sunday's game due to injuries. Jaire Alexander being the main one.

Titans - Ryan Tannehill remains OUT after the bye week with Malik Willis projected to start.

Jets - Sauce Gardner and DJ Reed (concussion protocol)

Dolphins - A myriad of injuries on the OL, keep an eye on. This will have an impact on their offense as seen Sunday night vs. Eagles.

Week 7 again saw games 6-6 Over/Under, but two games KC/LAC, BAL/DET barely went over. Oddsmakers have continued to adjust totals down.

Highest point spread - Dolphins -10.0

Lowest point spread - Falcons/Colts/Packers -1.0

Highest total - Patriots/Dolphins 47.0

Lowest total - Jets/Giants 36.5

Only two games with totals over 46.0 - Patriots/Dolphins, Bears/Chargers

Nine favorites over 6.0 or higher - Bills, Cowboys, Dolphins, Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs, 49ers, Chargers, Lions

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NFL Week 8 Line Movement: Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers

Both teams enter this game coming off the BYE and the Panthers have made a change on offense with Frank Reich handing over the play-calling duties to offensive coordinator Thomas Brown. This line has moved the most of any game on the card with the Panthers originally 3-point home favorites, but it has flipped to Texans -3.

This is a situation that the Texans are not used to being road favorites and it could end up being a trap. The last time they were favored on the road was Dec. 13, 2020. I have always said the non-conference road games (2 each team) are the least important of any on the schedule. I smell an upset brewing in Charlotte.

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NFL Week 8 Line Movement: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

This line originally opened Dolphins -6 and peaked at -13 before coming back down to -10. We still might see some movement on the Pats because the Dolphins have a lot of injuries, especially on the offensive line. The Pats' miracle come-from-behind win against the Bills at home and the Dolphins' loss to the Eagles on Sunday night helped bring this number back into reason.

NFL Week 8 Line Movement: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

The Chiefs opened -3.5 road favorites and it has climbed all the way up to Chiefs -8. This is a scary game for the Chiefs, who are coming off an impressive home win against the Chargers, 31-17, as the Broncos always play them tough.

The Broncos pulled out a home victory against a lifeless Packers team, 19-17, but had to hold on at the end of the game. For as bad as the Broncos have played this year, they have covered four out of the last six and just missed covering the Thursday night game, 19-8 (line was -10.5).

NFL Week 8 Line Movement: Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers

This was considered one of the games of the year in the regular season when the schedules were released and it still could end up being a great game. The 49ers were initially listed as a 1.5-point home favorite and it is now up to 49ers -5.5 with a peak of -6 and total of 45.5.

The Bengals have dealt with the Joe Burrow calf injury all season, and the 49ers looked like the best team in football until running into the Browns in Week 7. The 49ers are still the best team in football, in my opinion, but they are dealing with some key injuries right now (Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Trent Williams and Dre Greenlaw).

This is a short week for the 49ers, who have the Vikings on the road Monday night, while the Bengals are coming off the bye. I could see the Bengals rallying the troops in this spot and pulling off the outright upset win. The total has stayed around 45-46, and I think this game could be a very sneaky over play depending on the results of Monday Night Football.

NFL Week 8 Line Movement: Las Vegas Raiders at Detroit Lions

The Lions opened a -3.5 home favorite and have seen their odds climb to -8.0 as they have been one of the most improved teams in football, while the Raiders are well the RaiDUHS.

The Lions are coming off an embarrassing road loss to the Ravens, 38-6. The Lions have been a strong home team and this Monday Night game against the Raiders could just be the thing they need to get back on the horse. This is a meaningless game for the Raiders (non-conference road) and the total has plummeted from 49.5 to 44.5. The number to key in on here is the Lions' team total, which sits at 26.5. They have gone over that total in five out of their last six home games.

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