After a relatively heavy schedule Monday, we come back with a heavy main slate Tuesday. A total of 12 games are included, kicking off at 7:05 pm EDT. This set of games has a little bit of everything, including hitter-friendly parks, strong pitching and some pitchers to target.
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Pitchers
Paul Skenes ($11,000) is pretty clearly the most talented pitcher in the pool, but it will be a tough choice between him and Freddy Peralta ($10,000). The duo square off, and Peralta has a far easier matchup with a higher win probability. Considering the salaries, I'd lean Peralta even though Skenes has the better skills.
There's some risk in rostering Jack Flaherty ($9,200), but he has the upside to finish as the top pitcher of the day. He ties Skenes for the highest strikeout rate (28.9 percent) of all pitchers on the slate and draws a White Sox lineup that has had success of late but is overachieving. Though he's priced in a different tier, Jacob Lopez ($8,000) offers a very similar profile, with high upside but very little floor. Despite being a hitter-friendly environment, Lopez has performed better at home, so he could deliver a big score against the Rays.
Jose Berrios ($7,500) offers something of a contrast for cash game players. He is very unlikely to even reach 20 DK points, but he should get to around 15. Many of the Cubs' star hitters have been cold recently, making this a good time to face them.
It's a decent day to take a risk on punt plays. Neither Spencer Arrighetti ($6,500) nor Nestor Cortes ($6,400) has found their rhythm after long layoffs due to injury, but both are priced well below their potential as a result. I'd take Cortes due to a matchup against the Giants.
Top Hitters
Mitchell Parker is a good candidate to stack against. Among the top Royals we'll settle for highlighting Maikel Garcia ($4,900), as he has a .217 ISP and .401 wOBA against southpaws this season.
Ben Brown has had a significant homer problem, allowing at least one home run in six of his last seven starts. That puts some of the Blue Jays sluggers on the map, including Vladimir Guerrero ($5,400), Bo Bichette ($4,700) and even Addison Barger ($4,600).
Value Bats
Ryan McMahon ($3,400) hasn't been spectacular since joining the Yankees, but he has been their third baseman against right-handed pitching. He draws a good matchup against Thomas Hatch on Tuesday, who has allowed 2.1 HR/9 and a .381 wOBA against lefties this season.
Thomas Saggese ($2,300) has typically been in the lineup against left-handed pitching and has started four consecutive games overall. He's managed 10, 3, 5 and 16 DK points in that span, and he now draws an unimposing matchup against Kyle Freeland.
Stacks to Consider
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros (Arrighetti): Roman Anthony ($4,300), Alex Bregman ($5,000), Jarren Duran ($4,800)
We should anticipate that Arrighetti's performance will improve as he gets more starts under his belt, and it's possible that jump takes place Tuesday. However, he was roughed up in his first outing back and will now draw a tough matchup against the Red Sox at Fenway Park. The top of the Boston lineup is also relatively cheap, so if you're investing in some high-priced pitching, this is a good stack in which to find some savings.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels (Tyler Anderson): Shohei Ohtani ($6,500), Mookie Betts ($4,800), Will Smith ($5,000)
The Dodgers' lineup hasn't lived up to its reputation of late and in some cases has struggled to take advantage of exploitable matchups. Nevertheless, the matchup against Anderson is so good that it needs to be highlighted. Anderson has a poor 9.3 K-BB%, and that's paired with a 1.91 HR/9. A lot of contact allowed, low strikeout, high walk rate and high homer rate is the perfect recipe for a stack.
