CFB FanDuel DFS Breakdown for Week 10
Shootout Potential (games featuring high implied totals on both sides)
Mississippi State (30.5) at Arkansas (35.0) - 65.5 Total
UCF (28.0) at Baylor (31.5) - 59.5 Total
Georgia Tech (32.0) at NC State (27.0) - 58.5 Total
USC (31.5) at Nebraska (27.0) - 58.5 Total
We finally have a week where the weather shouldn't be a factor in some of the higher-scoring contests, so it may be a good time to load up on players from these contests. Sometimes, it's not always the headliners we want to single out from the contest and others are worth a look, while other times it doesn't hurt to load up on both ends of the contest. I'll report my interest with the selections below.
Blowout Potential (Spreads 14.5-plus points)
Indiana (36.0) at Maryland (14.5)
Penn State (12.5) at Ohio State (32.0)
These contests don't feature a ton of scoring from the opposition, but it's at least expected to be double digits to potentially keep the starters in for most of the contest and make them more appealing for the favorites. The problem extends to where exactly to target them, as Indiana and Ohio State distributed the volume around enough that it's tough to pinpoint obvious value plays among the ranks. Still worth a shot in the right circumstances.
Other Noteworthy Implied Totals
Illinois (37.5)
Ole Miss (34.0)
Miami (30.5)
These are teams that don't quite fit the shootout narrative, where the score could run past what we're hoping for, but they also aren't in blowout territory, where things could get out of hand. These tend to be good teams to target, especially for running backs, if the narrative unfolds with a second-half lead, as expected in many cases.
College Football DFS Weather (winds 15+ MPH, precip. chance 50-plus percent and hot/cold temps noted)
None outside a few places where the weather could be a little chilly.
Notable College Football Injuries/Absences for Week 10
QB
Behren Morton, Texas Tech - Set to retake his starting job after missing the last two games.
Arch Manning, Texas - Returned to practice Thursday but remains in concussion protocol. Game-time call for Saturday
Kevin Jennings, SMU - Listed probable for Saturday's tilt
Cam Fancher, UCF - Out for Saturday's contest
RB
Hollywood Smothers, NC State - Tabbed as questionable for Saturday
Fluff Bothwell, Mississippi State - Set to return this week
Chris Johnson, SMU - Questionable for Saturday
WR
Jordan Hudson, SMU - Probable to play Saturday
Ian Strong, Rutgers - Status TBD after missing last week
Romello Brinson, SMU - Listed probable for Saturday
Cameron Ross, Virginia - Expected to return Saturday
Kobe Prentice, Baylor - Doubtful for Saturday
Jayden Sellers, South Carolina - Won't play Saturday
Aidan Mizell, Florida - Ruled out Saturday
Malik Rutherford, Probable to suit up
TE
RJ Maryland, SMU - Deemed probable for Saturday
Terrance Carter, Texas Tech - Probable to play after missing last week
Justin Joly, NC State - Questionable for Saturday after suffering a leg injury last week
College Football DFS Tools
- FanDuel Lineup Optimizer
- Matchups Page (Vegas odds, opponent averages, etc.)
- Advanced Lineups Page
- Stats
- Team Trends
- Targets
- Defense vs. Position
- Team Rankings
Week 10 CFB DFS Plays on FanDuel
Quarterback
Taylen Green, Arkansas ($11,800) vs. Mississippi State
Fading Haynes King may be difficult to do, despite his $13,000 price tag, but it's something I intend to do because NC State has done a reasonably good job of containing the dual-threat quarterbacks it has faced this season. The Wolfpack have allowed just 105 rushing yards and one rushing TD on 45 attempts for the year, and the vast majority of it came from Chandler Morris on three carries back in Week 2. The Bulldogs haven't yielded that much more, surrendering 172 rushing yards and three TDs on 55 carries, but they also haven't faced many dual-threat options under center. Braylon Braxton ran for 58 yards and 12 carries in the opener, and there haven't been any high-caliber runners on the ledger since. Mississippi State doesn't generate a ton of pass rush, so I see this being a game where Green may find a good amount of running room to get the offense in gear.
Luke Altmyer, Illinois ($9,500) vs. Rutgers
Rutgers has a bad defense, which is somewhat surprising under Greg Schiano, but it's the truth. Some concern arises here that things could get a bit out of hand, and the running backs will be leaned on heavily, but Illinois has an earlier game of a similar ilk against Duke, where Altmyer still threw it 31 times. He also squared off against a defensive front yielding a whopping 7.7 yards per carry to opposing QBs, along with seven rushing scores on just 59 carries. Altmyer has proven himself capable of running the rock, amassing 48 rushing yards last week against Washington, and this could be the perfect opportunity to put those wheels on display again. On top of that, the Scarlet Knights' passing defense is horrid, yielding a slate-worst 9.4 passing yards per attempt, so there is a lot to like here.
Carson Beck, Miami ($8,600) at SMU
Beck doesn't scream fantasy stud due to his relative lack of mobility, but he can put up a sizable fantasy output when a hefty passing touchdown volume comes into play. The Mustangs grade out as the second-best run defense in the country, but the coverage unit is just so-so, as is the defense's ability to generate a consistent pass rush. Thus, I'm anticipating a heavy dose of the passing attack Saturday as the route the Canes will employ to reach the 30.5-point threshold Vegas is pegging them for. Beck has just two contests in which he finished with three or more passing touchdowns, and those games resulted in a combined 57.9 FD points in his two best fantasy efforts of the season. I'm expecting another top-3 fantasy performance here, which would deliver ample value at this salary.
Another to consider: 
Fernando Mendoza, Indiana ($11,500) at Maryland
Running Back
The Top Dogs
Emmett Johnson, Nebraska ($10,500) vs. USC
Johnson is the definition of a workhorse back, handling 29 touches last week against Northwestern and averaging 22.2 touches per game overall. While USC sits only middle of the pack on the surface, allowing 20.9 FD points per contest, the rush defense has shown some cracks in two of the last three contests, yielding well above-average fantasy points per tilt. The rush defense also grades out 110th overall, while the coverage unit ranks 90.3. Even if the Trojans jump out in front, Johnson averages 4.9 targets and 3.9 catches per contest, so no game script eliminates Johnson from the mix.
J'Mari Taylor, Virginia ($9,200) at California
Much like Johnson, Taylor has assumed a workhorse role for the Cavs this season, contributing as both a rusher and a receiver. Cal is another defense that succeeds against opposing passing attacks, but has had its issues against opposing running backs, yielding 4.6 yards per tote and 1.9 rushing touchdowns per contest. Virginia checks in as a 5.5-point favorite for this contest as well, which bodes well for Taylor's chances of getting a sizable workload.
Another to consider: 
Kendrick Raphael, Cal vs. Virginia
Mid-Tier Targets
Bo Jackson, Ohio State ($7,700) vs. Penn State
Jackson's workload had remained relatively stable since overtaking his backfield mates for the lead role, and even when he struggled to the tune of 2.6 yards per tote last time out versus Wisconsin, he salvaged his day with five grabs for 57 yards. The Nittany Lions have been a bit of a trainwreck of late, and running back rooms have generally underperformed. However, the dual-threat quarterbacks have run all over them, including Mark Gornowski for 130 yards and two TDs on nine carries last time out and Nico Iamaleava rushing for 128 yards and three touchdowns on 16 carries. Well, Sayin isn't a dual-threat option under center, and the Nittany Lions sport the 11th-ranked coverage unit in the country. Conversely, the run defense ranks outside the top 50, and the Buckeyes are heavily favored, so this could be a game we see the ground game get more involved.
King Miller, USC ($7,600) at Nebraska
In the absence of Waymond Jordan and Eli Sanders, it's Miller who has stepped up for the past couple of weeks to the tune of 36 carries against Michigan and Notre Dame. While he's had varied results between the tilts, the Cornhuskers' run defense doesn't stack up to either of the two previous opponents, so there's an opportunity here for him to post a sizable effort. On top of that, the Trojans are favored here, and Nebraska's secondary grades out as a top-20 unit nationally, allowing just 5.0 yards per pass attempt. I anticipate a healthy dose of Miller in this one, and this salary is more than affordable for a position that typically gets heavy fantasy volume in a Lincoln Riley offense.
Another to consider: Myles Montgomery, UCF ($7,900) at Baylor
Bargain Options
Michael Turner, Baylor ($6,900) vs. UCF
Turner is just a true freshman, but he's slowly carved out a regular role in the offense and has now handled double-digit carries in three of the last four games. Star running back Bryson Washington has been nicked up in recent weeks, leading to limited efficiency and workloads. While Washington is reportedly in the clear for Saturday's tilt, I'm not convinced he'll necessarily be at 100 percent, and Turner has really shown out recently, averaging 5.9 yards per carry over his last three efforts. The matchup here is favorable against a UCF defense yielding 146 rushing yards per game. It's a defense that grades out reasonably well overall, but the coverage unit grades out in the top 10 nationally. Turner is worth a flier as the Bears aim to track down their 31.5-point implied total.
Jaden Nixon, UCF ($6,600) at Baylor
On the reverse side of this contest, the Bears have proven unreliable against the run, yielding 4.6 yards per carry and 190.5 rushing yards and 2.3 rushing touchdowns per contest on the campaign. While Nixon's workload hasn't reached Turner levels, he's highly efficient with his touches, averaging 12.7 yards per carry and has notched six rushing scores on 32 carries. He's coming off seven carries for 116 yards and a pair of touchdowns against West Virginia. He should have opportunities for gash plays in this one, and Montgomery is also on the board, as mentioned above.
Wide Receiver/Tight End
The Top Dog
Isaiah Sategna, Oklahoma ($9,200) at Tennessee
Sategna has been the one reliable target in the Sooners' passing attack this season, racking up 43 grabs for 624 yards and five scores, notching 16.8 or more FD points in four of the last five contests. The Vols have struggled against the pass, allowing 7.6 yards per attempt, 266.9 passing yards and 2.0 passing touchdowns per contest. His 25.9 percent target share ranks fourth on the slate. His target count has ballooned to 35 over the last three games, and he should see a hefty target count again Saturday.
Malachi Toney, Miami ($8,900) at SMU
As mentioned above, I'm expecting a healthy passing total from the Hurricanes on Saturday, and Toney remains the best bet to turn to in the Miami passing attack. He enters Saturday with a 24.5 percent target share while averaging 10.8 yards per target. SMU plays the run extremely well but has allowed a slate-high 39.3 fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts thus far. It's an affordable pairing if you decide to go with Beck under center.
Mid-Tier Targets
Ian Strong, Rutgers ($8,100) at Illinois - if he plays, KJ Duff ($9,000) if not
Rutgers sports an implied score of 25.0 but remains a hefty underdog to the Illini, and Illinois struggles in coverage, grading out as one of the worst units in the nation. Overall, the defense gives up 7.3 yards per attempt along with 246.5 passing yards and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. Duff had a massive performance last week with Strong on the sidelines, compiling six catches for 241 yards and a touchdown against Purdue. However, Strong is the primary option in the offense when healthy, totaling a team-best 25.5 target share through the first seven weeks. At this price tag, he's likely a better option, but Duff should be viewed as an intriguing option should Strong sit again.
Anthony Evans, Mississippi State ($7,100) at Arkansas
While Evans has reached pay dirt only a couple of times this season, he still leads the pack in target share (26.5) and sports an enticing matchup versus a poor Arkansas secondary that grades out 110th nationally. Finding the end zone would be a bonus, but Evans can supply plenty of value from volume alone. Brenen Thompson ($8,800) should also be viewed as an option here, but he's also going to run you a lot more salary.
Bargain Options
Terrance Carter, Texas Tech ($5,900) at Kansas State
Carter looks set to return after missing the majority of the last two games, but he'll return to the fold Saturday. On top of that, Behren Morton is set to return under center for the Red Raiders. Carter has compiled double-digit FD points in four of the first six games, and Texas Tech sports a 29.5 implied total. Carter is a good spot to get involved in the scoring.
Malik Rutherford, Georgia Tech ($5,400) at NC State
Rutherford has been largely sidelined since Oct. 11 versus Virginia Tech, but he put up double-digit efforts in two of the three games prior to his injury. Next on the docket is a Wolfpack squad that really struggles against the pass, so I'm expecting the Yellow Jackets to turn to the air a little more Saturday. Rutherford should return to the top of the heap in the WR room, and there is some value to be had here if you're looking to save up, plus you get a piece of one of the more hefty implied team totals.
