College Football Best Bets: Finding the Edge, Championship Week

College Football Best Bets: Finding the Edge, Championship Week

This article is part of our College Football Picks series.

College Football Betting: Finding The Edge, Conference Championship Weekend

Betting is now live in Maryland and those located in MD can get in on the action with the BetMGM Maryland Bonus Code which gets new users $1,000 in first bet insurance upon sign-up.

With only Championship Week and Bowl season on the horizon, the window to raise our percentages is closing.  The primary problem with unweighted betting is that there isn't a chance to catch up, profit-wise. Still, there isn't anyone else in the industry that I know of who dares to track every FBS bet with transparency, and with any luck, we'll break even with our Top 25 and Overall Result rating by the time we get to January.

Week 13 Results (32-28-2) 51.5%

Week 13 Featured Bets (2-3-0) 40%

Week 13 Top 25 Results (8-9-2) 47.3%

Overall Top 25 Results (128-107-4) 53.5%

Overall Featured Bet Results (33-35-0) 48.5%

OVERALL RESULTS: (392-393-7) 49.4%

SIMULATED BETS

UTSA -8.5, USC -2.5, OHIO +3, TCU -1.5, TROY -8. UGA -17.5, BSU -3, TUL -4, CLEM -7.5, MICH -16.5

Sign up using the FanDuel Promo Code for a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet. If you're in either Maryland or Ohio, try the FanDuel Maryland Promo Code or FanDuel Ohio Promo Code for special offers.

FEATURED BETS

Since there are so few games to cover, I am going to pick only my three favorite spots from the wagers above.

Georgia -17.5 vs. LSU  (DraftKings Sportsbook) 

The Bulldogs could lose this game and still be in the CFP, so pride is the only thing on the line. Georgia's defense is the reason why this could be a blowout. The Bulldogs rank second in the nation in rush defense, and that's where LSU butters its bread. A tepid run game has been the Achilles heel in all of LSU's losses, and the only thing the Bulldogs need to account for beyond stopping the run is containing Jayden Daniels. The defense is going to dare Daniels to beat them with his arm, but they'll have to limit his mobility out of the pocket.

USC -2.5 vs. Utah  (DraftKings Sportsbook) 

All of Caleb Williams' targets are healthy, and he'll need them. I doubt the Trojans will get a lot accomplished on the ground against one of the nation's best run defenses, so Williams will need a Heisman-worthy night through the air. Were it not for a botched call that went Utah's way, it would be Utah trying to avenge a loss and not the other way around. USC is out of the playoff if they lose, and Utah is playing for a way out of the Holiday Bowl. There's really no comparison in offensive firepower, and if you break down the last time these two teams faced each other, the tandem of Cameron Rising and Dalton Kincaid was the only thing that kept the game competitive. USC will be able to find a solution for Kincaid this time around, and if Cameron Rising has to depend on other targets, he may have a frustrating night. The loss of Tavion Thomas doesn't help the run game, and although they have capable fill-ins for his production, it just seems like the Utes will be outclassed on offense in this rematch.


TCU -1.5 vs. Kansas State  (DraftKings Sportsbook) 

I've learned my lesson when it comes to fading the Horned Frogs. I think the Cinderella story will continue, thus solidifying TCU's place in the CFP. The key to a TCU win is stopping the run, and that will be tough to do against Deuce Vaughn. TCU won this game in the regular season, and although  KSU's quarterback situation was a mess leading into that game,  they ran the ball well and still lost. You can discount all of the intangibles around TCU and what remains is a confident offense led by Max Duggan, who is deserving of a seat at the Heisman ceremony. Here's an interesting stat - Kansas State is 1-3 when they allow 140 or more yards rushing, and the Horned Frogs average 200 yards per game.  TCU's ability to establish the run will make Dugaan's job even easier, and I see TCU pulling away in the second half.

RotoWire CFB Betting Tools

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only College Football Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire College Football fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
DraftKings Promo Code: Get $200 In Bonuses For National Championship
DraftKings Promo Code: Get $200 In Bonuses For National Championship
5 Props To Wager For The National Championship Game
5 Props To Wager For The National Championship Game
Georgia vs TCU Betting Picks For the CFP Title Game
Georgia vs TCU Betting Picks For the CFP Title Game
DraftKings College Football DFS Picks: Showdown Slate Plays and Strategy for Georgia vs. TCU
DraftKings College Football DFS Picks: Showdown Slate Plays and Strategy for Georgia vs. TCU
CFP National Championship Best Bets: Expert Picks for TCU vs Georgia
CFP National Championship Best Bets: Expert Picks for TCU vs Georgia
College Football Playoff National Championship Odds, Props, and Best Bets for TCU vs. Georgia
College Football Playoff National Championship Odds, Props, and Best Bets for TCU vs. Georgia