Dolphins vs. Ravens Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Thursday Night Football
The Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins have combined to go 4-11 to begin the season. Both disappointing teams will face each other on Thursday Night Football at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. on Prime Video at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let's look at the betting side of things and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 23-22 (-3.31 units)
Dolphins vs. Ravens Betting Odds
Dolphins: Spread +8 (-114 BetRivers), +350 Moneyline (BetMGM, FanDuel, Fanatics)
Ravens: Spread -7.5 (-110 Bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings), -425 Moneyline (Bet365)
Total: Over 50.5 (-110 Bet365, BetMGM, ESPNBet, FanDuel), Under 51.5 (-112 DraftKings)
QB Lamar Jackson will make his return for the Ravens after missing their last three games with a hamstring injury. The Dolphins will be thin at tight end for this game with Darren Waller (pectoral) and Julian Hill (ankle) out.
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Dolphins vs. Ravens Betting Picks & Props
Derrick Henry 90+ rushing yards (-114 FanDuel) for 1 Unit
With Jackson out, Henry received at least 21 carries in two of the last three games. He had 122 yards against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 6, but he finished with just 71 rushing yards on 21 carries versus the Chicago Bears last week. After averaging 5.9 yards per carry (YPC) last season, he has produced a more modest 4.7 YPC this year.
Despite not being able to live up to his lofty production from last season, Henry has still proven to be difficult to bring down, averaging 3.1 yards after contact. The Dolphins have been terrible at stopping the run, allowing 5.01 YPC to running backs. Henry could see 20+ carries in this matchup if the Ravens build a big lead early, which would put him in a position to at least approach 100 rushing yards.
Jaylen Waddle Over 4.5 receptions (-147 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
Losing WR Tyreek Hill (knee) for the season has left Waddle as the clear top receiving option for the Dolphins. Over the first four games of the season with Hill, Waddle caught 17 of 23 targets for 185 yards and two touchdowns. Across four games without him, Waddle has hauled in 18 of 27 targets for 319 yards and two touchdowns. The Cleveland Browns held him to one catch in Week 7, but he has posted at least five receptions in each of the other three games without Hill.
The Ravens have allowed an average of 14.0 receptions per game to wide receivers. Among the teams that have played just seven games, only the Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed more receptions to the position. In a game in which the Dolphins might need to throw a lot to keep up with the Ravens' offense, Waddle should receive a lot of targets.
Malik Washington Over 3.5 receptions (-124 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
As big of a loss as Hill was, don't sleep on the absence of Waller. He had a three-game stretch earlier in the season in which he posted four total touchdowns to go along with 12 targets. When he was out last week against the Atlanta Falcons, Washington caught four of five targets for 36 yards and one touchdown.
With Hill out, Washington has finished with at least five targets and four receptions in each of the last four games. For the season, he has been targeted on 21.1 percent of his routes run. The Dolphins don't have many viable pass-catching options behind Waddle, so Washington has a path to at least five targets again.
Dolphins vs. Ravens Prediction
The Ravens are 0-2 on the road this season, but they played very difficult opponents against the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs. This will be a much easier matchup against the Dolphins, who are 1-5 versus teams in the AFC. It's not a great feeling to take a road team to cover a big spread on a short week, but with Jackson back in the fold, the Ravens are primed to win this game in convincing fashion.
Ravens 30, Dolphins 20
