NBA DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Lineup Strategy for Friday, November 4

NBA DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Lineup Strategy for Friday, November 4

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

We have our usual jumbo-sized Friday night slate with 12 games on tap. However, a loaded injury report lends an air of uncertainty to the night from a DFS perspective. Fortunately, there's a massive player pool to work with, as 24 teams will be in action.

Slate Overview

Miami Heat (-4) at Indiana Pacers (+4) (O/U: 226.5 points)

New York Knicks (+3.5) at Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5) (O/U: 219.5 points)

Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5) at Detroit Pistons (+6.5) (O/U: 220.0 points)

Brooklyn Nets (+3) at Washington Wizards (-3) (O/U: 222.5 points)

Chicago Bulls (+7) at Boston Celtics (-7) (O/U: 223.5 points)

Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5) at San Antonio Spurs (+4.5) (O/U: 225.5 points)

Charlotte Hornets (+11) at Memphis Grizzlies (-11) (O/U: 227.5 points)

Golden State Warriors (+4) at New Orleans Pelicans (-4) (O/U: 234.0 points)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5) at Dallas Mavericks (-3.5) (O/U: 216.5 points)

Portland Trail Blazers (+10.5) at Phoenix Suns (-10.5) (O/U: 219.0 points)

Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) at Minnesota Timberwolves (+3.5) (O/U: 227.0 points)

Utah Jazz (+3) at Los Angeles Lakers (-3) (O/U: 228.0 points)

As of early Friday morning, there many more matchups than usual with totals that had yet to be posted due to the large number of big names on the injury report and the truly questionable status for many of them. One appealing aspect of the lines is that all but one is seven points or less, which implies plenty of close games where stars should log heavy minutes. The Clippers-Spurs, Warriors-Pelicans, Raptors-Mavericks and Jazz-Lakers could be among the top scoring environments given the combination of talent and defensive questions.

Injury Situations to Monitor  

NOTE: Injury reporting is especially fluid in the NBA, where the status of multiple players can change during the course of a day. Therefore, although the following is a foundation for the latest injury report as of the time the article is written, check back throughout the course of the day with RotoWire for the latest news regarding the status of all players on that night's slate, including those carrying injury designations that aren't listed in this section.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL (knee): PROBABLE

Antetokounmpo is fully expected to play through his knee issue and log his usual  amount of minutes.

Anthony Davis, LAL (back): QUESTIONABLE

If Davis were to sit out, LeBron James' already massive usage would see a boost.

Joel Embiid, PHI (illness): QUESTIONBABLE

If Embiid sits out another game, De'Anthony Melton would likely remain in the starting five. However, if the big man plays, he'll be in for even more usage than usual with James Harden (foot) out of action.

James Harden, PHI (foot): OUT

With Harden out, the usage of the remainder of the starting five will see a massive spike and De'Anthony Melton and Furkan Korkmaz will likely handle the majority of two-guard minutes.

LeBron James, LAL (foot): PROBABLE

James is expected to play through his usual probable designation and log his usual workload.

Donovan Mitchell, CLE (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

If Mitchell were to sit out, the rest of Cleveland's starting five would see a notable spike in usage and both Caris LeVert and Isaac Okoro would likely benefit directly.

Kyrie Irving, BKN (suspension): OUT

With Irving out, Patty Mills and Cam Thomas could be direct beneficiaries in the backcourt, while Kevin Durant's usage should be through the roof.

Damian Lillard, POR (calf): OUT

In Lillard's ongoing absence, Shadeon Sharpe could remain in the starting five.

Rudy Gobert, MIN (illness): QUESTIONABLE

If Gobert were to sit out, Naz Reid would potentially draw a start, while Karl-Anthony Towns could also conceivably see some minutes at center.

Jimmy Butler, MIA (hip): OUT

In Butler's absence, Max Strus could draw a start and usage of the rest of the starting five should be higher than usual as well.

Bam Adebayo, MIA (knee): QUESTIONABLE

If Adebayo sits out, Dewayne Dedmon and Udonis Haslem could benefit directly at center. However, if the big man does play, he should have an even more elevated role than usual with Butler out.

Other notable injuries:

LaMelo Ball, CHA (ankle): OUT

Anthony Edwards, MIN (illness): QUESTIONABLE

Darius Garland, CLE (knee): QUESTIONABLE

Terry Rozier, CHA (ankle): DOUBTFUL

Anfernee Simons, POR (foot): QUESTIONABLE

Brandon Ingram, NOP (concussion): OUT

Fred VanVleet, TOR (back): QUESTIONABLE

Khris Middleton, MIL (wrist): OUT

Deandre Ayton, PHO (ankle): PROBABLE

Kawhi Leonard, LAC (knee): OUT

Ben Simmons, BKN (knee): OUT

Gordon Hayward, CHA (shoulder): OUT

Elite Players

We have eight players with five-figure salaries on Friday's slate – Giannis Antetokounmpo ($12,000), Luka Doncic ($11,800), Anthony Davis ($10,600), Kevin Durant ($10,400), Jayson Tatum ($10,300), Stephen Curry ($10,200), Pascal Siakam ($10,000) and Joel Embiid ($10,000).

Antetokounmpo is expected to play through his probable designation and is averaging 61.9 FD points per game, giving him one of the safest and highest floors on the slate.

Doncic is putting up a slate-high 63.4 FD points per game and will be facing a short-handed Raptors backcourt potentially missing Fred VanVleet (back).

If Davis overcomes his back tightness, he's a very viable play against a Jazz side against which the Lakers should be able to rack up the points.

Durant's usage should be even more through the roof than usual with both Irving and Simmons out, and he already comes in averaging 50.9 FD points.

Tatum is producing 49.4 FD points a night and should once again log an extremely heavy workload in what could be a wire-to-wire battle with the Bulls.

Curry should continue to see massive usage as the desperate Warriors try to break their losing streak, and he's already averaging 50.7 FD points after his second straight effort over 50 on Thursday.

Siakam is averaging over 55 FD points over his last two games and just posted a triple-double against the Spurs, a tangible example of the career-best upside he's displaying

Embiid will need to overcome his illness. But if he suits up, he'll be in a favorable matchup against the Knicks and checks in with 45 FD points per game.

Expected Chalk

Other likely chalk plays include:

Ja Morant, MEM ($9,900)

Morant has recorded 47.1 FD points per outing and offers one of the safest floors at any position, which should keep him very popular Friday.

LeBron James, LAL ($9,700)

James should be able to play through his foot soreness yet again and is averaging 49.5 FD points. He could also potentially take the floor without Anthony Davis (back).

Donovan Mitchell, CLE ($9,300)

As long as Mitchell overcomes his ankle injury, he should be in plenty of lineups considering he's opened his Cavs' career with an average of 50.5 FD points - including three tallies over 50 - in his first seven.

Bam Adebayo, MIA ($8,300)

Should Adebayo push through his questionable designation, he's primed to be popular considering he sports a 25.5 percent usage rate without Jimmy Butler (hip) on the floor.

Tyrese Maxey, PHI ($8,200)

With Harden and potentially Embiid out, Maxey should be very popular.

Key Values 

Tyler Herro, MIA at IND ($7,000)

Herro's salary is a bit elevated by my usual "value play" standards, but he certainly could overdeliver in a game where he'll play without Jimmy Butler (hip). The sharpshooter has averaged 31.8 FD points thus far and is coming off a season-high 50.4 against the Kings on Wednesday. Herro also lists a 31.2 percent usage rate and averages 41.3 FD points per 36 minutes without Butler on the floor, and he'll face a Pacers team allowing the highest offensive efficiency rating to shooting guards (32.8) and NBA-high 42.8 percent three-point shooting.

Mikal Bridges, PHO vs. POR ($6,200)

Bridges is averaging 31.2 FD points and has already produced a couple of efforts over 35 FD points, putting him in play at this salary. The talented wing is shooting a jaw-dropping 64.2 percent, including 46.7 percent from three-point range, while the Trail Blazers rank 18th in offensive efficiency rating allowed to small forwards (22.9 percent) and have allowed opponents to make 40.4 percent of their three-point shot attempts the last three games.

Chris Boucher, TOR at DAL ($4,800)

Boucher has picked up the pace after a couple of slow outings following his delayed season debut, averaging 12.0 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 1.7 blocks and 1.7 steals across 22.7 minutes over his last three. The versatile big man is shooting 63.6 percent, including 50.0 percent from behind the arc, during that span, and he topped out at 25 minutes in his most recent battle against the Spurs while netting 37.6 FD points. The Mavs sit 20th in offensive efficiency allowed to power forwards (26.9) and Boucher can contribute in every category across the stat sheet, making him a solid selection to once again significantly exceed his salary.

ALSO CONSIDER: Tobias Harris, PHI vs. NYK ($7,400); Jarrett Allen, CLE at DET ($6,800); Steven Adams, MEM vs. CHA ($5,300); Royce O'Neale, BKN at WAS ($5,200)

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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