DraftKings Fantasy Soccer: Tuesday UCL Picks

For detailed odds and stats, check out the Fantasy Champions League: Tuesday Cheat Sheet.

MATCHES (EST)

3:00 p.m: Monaco v. Borussia Dortmund
3:00 p.m: Inter Milan v. PSV Eindhoven
3:00 p.m: FK Crvena Zvezda v. Paris Saint-Germain
3:00 p.m: Club Brugge v. Atletico Madrid
3:00 p.m: Barcelona v. Tottenham
3:00 p.m: Liverpool v. Napoli

FORWARDS

Neymar, PSG at CRV ($10,500): The last matchweek of the group stage is finally upon us, and while we have a few teams who have already booked their spots in the round of 16 -- or been eliminated from contention -- there are still high-profile teams with lots at stake. Paris Saint-Germain need a win to advance, and while a draw or loss could theoretically see them through if Napoli defeat Liverpool, there's no reason to take those chances when they're playing the worst team in the group. Admittedly, FK Crvena Zvezda have been excellent defensively at home, keeping Napoli scoreless in a draw and beating Liverpool 2-0, but it's really tough to fade Neymar in basically a must-win game, especially since he's averaging 4.28 shots, including 2.85 on goal, 4.28 crosses and 5.29 fouls drawn per 90 minutes during the Champions League this season, including a hat trick on nine shots (seven on target) and eight fouls drawn against FK Crvena Zvezda in the reverse fixture. Despite the somewhat tough matchup, PSG are the biggest favorite on the slate with the highest implied goal total, which doesn't rule out Kylian Mbappe ($9,300), Edinson Cavani ($8,300) or Angel Di Maria ($8,400), though they're all better suited for GPPs (yes, even Di Maria, whose floor really hasn't been that strong of late).

Mohamed Salah, LIV v. NAP ($9,600): Arguably the day's most important match, Liverpool absolutely must win to have a chance at advancing, with Napoli needing only a draw to book their ticket to the round of 16. It's possible that both sides advance if PSG crumble in Serbia, but again, they're the biggest favorite on the slate. Napoli have a number of attackers we always consider when they are a big favorite, but Liverpool are actually the third-biggest favorite on the slate, firmly putting Salah in play for cash games, even with Neymar. Salah broke a three-match scoreless run with a hat trick on four shots in last weekend's win over Bournemouth, and there's little reason to think there's a better cash-game play for Liverpool in a must-win match. I understand the hesitation because Salah doesn't have a monopoly of set pieces, but his shooting floor has been strong and it's likely he'll be taking plenty of shots as Liverpool try to advance out of the group stage and send Napoli to the Europa League. Speaking of shots, I wouldn't sleep on Harry Kane ($9,100) in GPP, as he comes in with three goals on 14 shots, including nine on goal, and 15 fouls drawn in his last four games, and he could be lining up against a significantly rotated Barcelona side that already clinched first place in the group.

Matteo Politano, INT v. PSV ($7,700): While Salah's floor isn't all that safe but his ceiling is sky high, Politano is the opposite, as his role on set pieces for a big favorite likely gives him a solid floor, but he really doesn't score enough goals to showcase any kind of meaningful ceiling. Nevertheless, he's averaging 3.07 shots, 8.93 crosses and 1.58 fouls drawn per 90 minutes during Serie A play, as well as 1.95 shots, 8.03 crosses and 2.92 fouls drawn per 90 during this season's Champions League. With Inter firmly favored and in need of a win to possibly get into the next round, Politano should be very active, with teammate Mauro Icardi ($8,500) a solid GPP option with the second-best anytime goal scorer odds on the slate, trailing only Neymar.

MIDFIELDERS

Christian Eriksen, TOT at BAR ($7,700): Barcelona have already clinched the top spot in Group B, giving them nothing to play for Tuesday, while Tottenham need a win to clinch a spot in the round of 16, while a draw could see them pushed to third if Inter Milan beat PSV Eindhoven in Italy. With Tottenham needing to press against a possible Barcelona B-squad, Eriksen lines up as a very solid play, especially with Kieran Trippier ($5,300, defender) ruled out due to injury, giving Eriksen a clearer path to set pieces. Barcelona are barely favored at home, and given their expected rotation, Eriksen could provide a very good floor thanks to his crosses and shots.

Marko Marin, CRV v. PSG ($4,800): FK Crvena Zvezda may be the biggest underdog on the slate, but they still have a shot at qualifying for the Europa League, with a win at home against Paris Saint-Germain a big path to that goal. Marin has been their best fantasy weapon during the Champions League, with his role on set pieces playing a big part. Then again, he also scored against PSG in their first match, while adding two assists at home against Liverpool and another away to Napoli. A total breakout fantasy performance is unlikely given the opponent, but it's worth recognizing that PSG's best defense is their attack, with FK Crvena Zvezda possibly being able to take advantage on the counter.

Allan, NAP at LIV ($4,000): This is a straight-up floor play, as Allan's primary responsibilities will be on the defensive end against a Liverpool attack that is going to come out swinging in a must-win match. Allan is always good for one or two chances created, but he gets his value from winning tackles and drawing fouls, as he had 31 and 15, respectively, in his last 10 games (eight starts). It would be really surprising if he popped up with his first goal of the season, but at his salary, it's more about whether he can reach five or six points while providing the salary savings to spend elsewhere.

DEFENDERS

Dani Alves, PSG at CRV ($2,900): It seems unlikely that Alves will start, as he's only done so once since returning from a torn ACL, but if he does he should be the highest owned player in every contest. He is the definition of an attacking fullback, as he averaged 1.18 shots, 4.36 crosses, 2.49 tackles won and 1.48 fouls drawn per 90 minutes during Ligue 1 last season before the injury. Had he not suffered the injury he likely would have been the most expensive defender on the slate, giving us a very rare bargain on a mis-priced player...if he starts.

Danny Rose, TOT at BAR ($3,700): The Tottenham left-back rotation seems to be in full swing, and while it seems like it should be Rose's turn Tuesday, it's worth pointing out that he's played just one minute in the Champions League this season. Even if he doesn't start, Ben Davies ($4,200) makes for a a reasonable play, even away to Barcelona. As noted with Kane and Eriksen, Tottenham have to win and, the last time I checked, you have to score to win a match, which could mean Rose and Davies will be pushing up enough to help them make value on their relatively low salaries.

Raphael Guerreiro BVB at MCO ($5,400): Classified as a defender once again, Guerreiro's main selling point is that he could be a set-piece taker for a decent favorite that kind of has something to play for against a side that is locked into last place. It doesn't seem like paying up at defender is a necessity on this slate, but Guerreiro makes sense in the right circumstance. The same could probably be said about Trent Alexander-Arnold ($5,500), who has a cloudier path to set pieces but could still be an important piece of the attack in open play, but it's not guaranteed, especially if he has to defend against the excellent Napoli forwards.

GOALKEEPER

Milan Borjan, CRV v. PSG ($3,600): Borjan is the biggest underdog on the slate, but he also shut out both Napoli and Liverpool in home Champions League matches this season, racking up 11 saves in those two starts. In fact, his saves have been incredibly helpful, as he managed to score 10.00 fantasy points while conceding six goals to PSG in the reverse fixture thanks to 11 saves, and while his likelihood for a win and/or a clean sheet is very low Tuesday, there's little doubt he'll have plenty of opportunities for saves.